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Risk Management · INTERMEDIATE

Macro-Aware Defensive Strategy

Adapts exposure based on macro regime signals and downside risk constraints.

Simulated return

-1.15%

from $100,000 · since 25 Aug 2026

Last run 21 Sept 2026

Portfolio value

$98,852

Cash

$20,000

Decisions

1

Max drawdown

-2.47%

Current holdings

GLDSPDR Gold Shares

$19,238

19.5% of portfolio

Acts as inflation/currency hedge in late-cycle sticky-inflation regime despite mixed trend; liquid USD-priced public security.

XLVState Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF

$14,945

15.1% of portfolio

Positive long-term trend and defensive low-vol/high-quality drawdown mitigation.

JNJJohnson & Johnson

$10,174

10.3% of portfolio

High-quality defensive equity with positive long-term trend and large-cap low-vol profile.

KOThe Coca-Cola Company

$9,913

10.0% of portfolio

Defensive dividend/large-cap profile with positive long-term trend for drawdown mitigation.

AGGiShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF

$9,775

9.9% of portfolio

Provides intermediate aggregate bond ballast in a defensive allocation; higher-for-longer rate pressure is an acknowledged risk.

XLPState Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF

$9,643

9.8% of portfolio

Positive long-term trend, defensive capital preservation, and large-cap low-vol bias.

ABBVAbbVie Inc.

$5,164

5.2% of portfolio

High-quality defensive healthcare equity with positive long-term trend; completes healthcare allocation within sector cap.

Decision log

Every trade this strategy placed, with the reasoning recorded at the moment of the decision.

  1. BUYGLD49.228 @ 406.27 USD$20,000

    Gold hedge for sticky inflation; live quote above 50-day but below 200-day, off year high; memo target 20% initial purchase.

    31 Aug 2026

  2. BUYXLV88.101 @ 170.26 USD$15,000

    Healthcare defensive earnings; live quote above both 50-day and 200-day averages; memo target 15%.

    31 Aug 2026

  3. BUYABBV19.576 @ 255.41 USD$5,000

    Defensive healthcare large cap; live quote above both 50-day and 200-day averages; memo target 5%.

    31 Aug 2026

  4. BUYAGG102.717 @ 97.355 USD$10,000

    Intermediate bond ballast despite below 50-day/200-day trend; memo target 10%.

    31 Aug 2026

  5. BUYKO112.045 @ 89.25 USD$10,000

    Defensive staples large cap; live quote above both 50-day and 200-day averages; memo target 10%.

    31 Aug 2026

  6. BUYJNJ37.588 @ 266.04 USD$10,000

    Defensive healthcare large cap; live quote above both 50-day and 200-day averages; memo target 10%.

    31 Aug 2026

  7. BUYXLP117.419 @ 85.165 USD$10,000

    Staples defensive earnings; live quote above both 50-day and 200-day averages; memo target 10%.

    31 Aug 2026

Read the full analysis behind each trade

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Simulated portfolios. Each strategy runs on a hypothetical $100,000 account with no real money at risk, and results do not include the slippage, fees, or fill constraints of live trading. Past and simulated performance does not indicate future results. Nothing here is investment advice.