Credit cards
Revenue Exposure
Credit cards represent 92.8% of loan receivables, the primary source of revenue.
Relevance 95·Dependency 90·Confidence 97
Source evidence
“Loan receivables are our largest category of assets and represent our primary source of revenue.”
United States
Revenue Exposure
Substantially all credit card business is in the United States; company discloses concentration in U.S. consumer credit market.
Relevance 95·Dependency 90·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Substantially all of our credit card business is in the United States.”
Retail consumers / cardholders
Demand Driver
Consumer discretionary spend management and active account levels drive purchase volume and loan receivables across segments.
Relevance 90·Dependency 85·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“lower spend in Outdoor and Specialty as consumers continued to manage discretionary spend and the impacts from our previous credit actions”
Large retail partners
Customer Exposure
Significant percentage of interest and fees on loans comes from a small number of large retail partners.
Relevance 90·Dependency 80·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“a significant percentage of our interest and fees on loans comes from relationships with a small number of large retail partners”
Lowe's is a named leading retail partner and example private label program.
Relevance 90·Dependency 75·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“such as Lowe’s and Sam's Club”
Amazon is a named leading digital partner across credit products and Pay Later solutions; partner financial performance is a disclosed risk.
Relevance 90·Dependency 75·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“leading digital partners, such as Amazon and PayPal”
Credit conditions
Cost Driver
Credit rating downgrades would increase funding costs and restrict capital markets access; securitization access is critical funding.
Relevance 90·Dependency 70·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“A downgrade in our unsecured debt or asset-backed securities credit ratings (or investor concerns that a downgrade may occur) could materially increase the cost of our funding from, and restrict our access to, the capital markets.”
Interest rates
Cost Driver
Changes in market interest rates affect net interest income, deposit costs, and customers' ability to pay; 53%/47% fixed/floating mix creates repricing risk.
Relevance 90·Dependency 70·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Changes in market interest rates could have a material adverse effect on our net earnings, funding and liquidity.”
Retailer partner programs
Supplier Dependency
Partner expansion and retailer performance drive purchase volume in the Diversified & Value platform.
Relevance 85·Dependency 80·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Purchase volume increased by 1.5%, for the year ended December 31, 2025 reflecting the impact of partner expansion and retailer performance”
Interest rates / macroeconomic conditions
Demand Driver
Inflation, interest rates, tariffs and recession risk are cited as factors that could cause results to differ, affecting consumer demand and borrowing costs.
Relevance 85·Dependency 70·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“the impact of macroeconomic conditions, including factors impacting consumer confidence and economic growth in the United States, such as inflation, interest rates, tariffs (including retaliatory tariffs) and an economic downturn or recession”
Basel III standardized approach (OCC)
Regulatory Exposure
The Bank must meet OCC Basel III minimum capital and leverage ratios; failure would restrict brokered deposits and could trigger prompt corrective action.
Relevance 85·Dependency 70·Confidence 96
Source evidence
“The Bank is required by OCC regulations to maintain specified levels of regulatory capital.”
PayPal Holdings Inc.
Supplier Dependency
PayPal exclusive demand savings partnership is an important funding/liquidity source; dissolution would require replacement funding at potentially higher costs.
Relevance 85·Dependency 60·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Since 2022, we have partnered with PayPal Holdings Inc. to offer demand savings accounts exclusively to PayPal customers. This is, and other future affiliate banking products could become, an important source of funding and liquidity to the Bank.”
Interest rates
Cost Driver
Deposit costs averaged 4.1% in 2025 (down from 4.6%), and deposit retention is rate-sensitive, driving funding cost.
Relevance 80·Dependency 75·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Our ability to attract deposits is sensitive to, among other things, the interest rates we pay, and therefore, we bear funding risk if we fail to pay higher rates”
PayPal named as leading digital partner.
Relevance 80·Dependency 65·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“leading digital partners, such as Amazon and PayPal”
August 2023 interagency long-term debt NPR
Regulatory Exposure
If finalized, the long-term debt rule may require changes to Synchrony's funding strategy and/or increase its cost of funding.
Relevance 80·Dependency 55·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“If the proposed changes are finalized, they may require changes to our funding strategy and/or increase our cost of funding.”
Regulation (late fee rules)
Legal Exposure
Lower late fee incidence reduced interest and fees, partially offset by product, pricing and policy changes.
Relevance 75·Dependency 65·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“reflecting lower benchmark rates and lower late fee incidence, partially offset by the impacts of our product, pricing and policy changes”
FDIA prompt corrective action
Regulatory Exposure
As an insured depository institution, the Bank is subject to prompt corrective action if it fails to meet minimum capital requirements under the FDIA.
Relevance 75·Dependency 60·Confidence 94
Source evidence
“the FDIA, which requires, among other things, the federal banking agencies to take "prompt corrective action" in respect of depository institutions that do not meet minimum capital requirements”
CFPB credit card late fee rule
Regulatory Exposure
CFPB late fee rule was vacated in April 2025; product, pricing and policy changes related to it are a disclosed factor.
Relevance 75·Dependency 60·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“product, pricing and policy changes related to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's (the "CFPB") final rule on credit card late fees, which was vacated in April 2025”
Fiserv Solutions LLC
Supplier Dependency
Card and statement production services are outsourced to Fiserv; failure of third parties to provide services is a disclosed risk.
Relevance 70·Dependency 65·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“We utilize our third-party provider, Fiserv Solutions LLC (“Fiserv”), for these production services”
Interest rate (prime rate) dynamics on USD-denominated fixed/floating loan receivables drive net interest income, funding costs, and customer payment capacity.
Relevance 70·Dependency 40·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Our floating rate credit products bear interest at rates that fluctuate with the prime rate.”
FDIA brokered deposit and interest rate restrictions
Legal Exposure
FDIA restrictions on brokered deposits and rates could limit funding flexibility and raise funding costs if the Bank loses well-capitalized status.
Relevance 65·Dependency 40·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“The FDIA prohibits an insured bank from accepting brokered deposits or offering interest rates on any deposits significantly higher than the prevailing rate in the bank's normal market area or nationally”
Benchmark rates (USD interest rates) affect loan receivables yield and net interest income.
Relevance 60·Dependency 70·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“primarily driven by lower average loan receivables yield, reflecting lower benchmark rates”
Fiserv (Clover point-of-sale platform)
Technology Dependency
Pay with Synchrony application is embedded within Fiserv's Clover POS platform.
Relevance 60·Dependency 55·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“Our Pay with Synchrony mobile application available within the Clover point-of-sale platform”
Change in Bank Control Act / HOLA
Regulatory Exposure
Acquisitions of control of Synchrony stock require prior written Federal Reserve Board approval, constraining ownership changes.
Relevance 55·Dependency 40·Confidence 93
Source evidence
“Investors are responsible for ensuring that they do not, directly or indirectly, acquire shares of our stock in excess of the amount that can be acquired without regulatory approval under the Change in Bank Control Act”
Protection products
Demand Driver
Higher protection product revenue drove other income growth in Health & Wellness and Lifestyle.
Relevance 55·Dependency 40·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“primarily due to higher protection product revenue and the impact of product, pricing and policy change related fees”