high capacity nearline drives
Demand Driver
Nearline exabyte shipments (695 EB FY2026 vs 497 EB FY2025) and favorable pricing were primary revenue growth and margin expansion drivers.
Relevance 92·Dependency 88·Confidence 98
Source evidence
“primarily due to an increase in nearline exabytes shipped reflecting higher demand for nearline products and favorable pricing actions undertaken by the Company.”
artificial_intelligence
Demand Driver
AI-related applications increase data generation/retention/reuse, supporting demand for scalable, cost-efficient storage solutions, led by data center end markets.
Relevance 92·Dependency 85·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Customers continue to invest in data center infrastructure to serve both traditional data intensive workloads along with growing AI related applications.”
Hyperscale cloud operators / CSPs
Customer Exposure
Data Center (vast majority of business) sold primarily to CSPs and hyperscale cloud operators under master purchase agreements with demand forecasts and supply commitments.
Relevance 92·Dependency 80·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Many of our major customers, including OEMs and hyperscale cloud operators, purchase products under master purchase agreements”
HAMR technology (Mozaic platform)
Technology Dependency
Transition to HAMR under the Mozaic platform is key to increasing HDD capacities; delayed development/qualification could lose sales and market share.
Relevance 90·Dependency 85·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“If our transitions to more advanced technologies, including the transition to HDDs utilizing HAMR technology, require development, qualification or production cycles that are longer than anticipated or if we otherwise fail to implement new HDD technologies successfully, we may lose sales and market share”
Large hyperscale data center companies and CSPs
Customer Exposure
A limited number of key customers including hyperscale data center companies and CSPs account for a significant portion of revenue; lost or canceled purchases can adversely affect results.
Relevance 90·Dependency 85·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“A limited number of our key customers account for a significant portion of our revenue, and we have been, and may in the future be, adversely affected by reduced, delayed, loss of or canceled purchases by one or more of them, including large hyperscale data center companies and CSPs.”
global cloud customers
Demand Driver
Sustained nearline drive demand from global cloud customers drove revenue growth; Data Center market is 80% of FY2026 revenue.
Relevance 90·Dependency 82·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“sustained demand for our high capacity nearline drives across global cloud customers”
Artificial intelligence
Revenue Exposure
AI-enabled computing drives demand for mass-capacity storage; Data Center products designed for AI-enabled cloud workloads.
Relevance 90·Dependency 75·Confidence 92
Source evidence
“scalable, high-capacity storage infrastructure to support AI-enabled computing, business-critical applications and other data-intensive workloads”
Cloud computing / hyperscale infrastructure
Revenue Exposure
Cloud infrastructure expansion and hyperscale investment timing drive Data Center demand variability.
Relevance 88·Dependency 72·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Demand from cloud customers may also vary based on the timing of hyperscale infrastructure investments”
HAMR / Mozaic platform
Technology Dependency
Mozaic HAMR platform is the foundation of capacity roadmap and competitive differentiation; qualification and transition timing affect results.
Relevance 88·Dependency 70·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“our unique implementation of heat-assisted magnetic recording ("HAMR") technology”
Critical HDD components (heads, media, ASICs, motors, DRAM, NAND)
Supplier Dependency
Sole or limited-source components create cost, availability and single-point-of-failure risks; price increases could not be passed through and margins would decline.
Relevance 85·Dependency 85·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“We rely on sole or a limited number of direct and indirect suppliers for some or all of these components and rare earth elements that we do not manufacture”
Rare earth elements
Raw Material Dependency
Rare earth elements critical to HDD manufacturing are largely sourced from China; export bans would disrupt supply chain continuity and operating results.
Relevance 85·Dependency 80·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Certain rare earth elements are also critical in the manufacture of our products. Many of these rare earth elements are sourced from China, which accounts for a majority of the global supply and processing capacity for these materials.”
Tariffs and trade policy
Cost Driver
Tariffs on ICT products raise cost of goods imported into the U.S., potentially requiring price increases that reduce demand or compressing margins; trade policy shifts may disrupt Seagate's global supply chain and sourcing of components and critical materials.
Relevance 85·Dependency 60·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“These and any new measures may materially increase costs for goods imported from key jurisdictions into the United States. This in turn could require us to materially increase prices to our customers which may reduce demand”
OEMs accounted for 81% of FY2026 revenue, making the OEM channel the primary route to market.
Relevance 80·Dependency 75·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Revenues by Channel (%)
OEMs81 %80 %”
OECD Pillar Two global minimum tax
Tax Exposure
Pillar Two top-up tax enacted in several jurisdictions where Seagate operates has increased the income tax Seagate is subject to, affecting effective tax rate, liquidity, and capital requirements.
Relevance 80·Dependency 70·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“The Pillar Two framework for the global minimum tax has increased the level of income tax that Seagate is subject to.”
Western Digital Corporation
Competitive Exposure
Western Digital is a named global HDD competitor; pricing affected by industry capacity and customer demand.
Relevance 80·Dependency 60·Confidence 92
Source evidence
“Our global competitors include HDD manufacturers such as Western Digital Corporation”
Asia manufacturing footprint (China, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand)
Manufacturing Dependency
Component manufacturing, subassembly, test and assembly concentrated in China, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand plus Northern Ireland and US.
Relevance 78·Dependency 70·Confidence 88
Source evidence
“performed at facilities in China, Malaysia, Northern Ireland, Singapore, Thailand and the United States”
China rare earth export restrictions
Regulatory Exposure
Chinese export restrictions on rare earths, or U.S. import restrictions, could materially disrupt Seagate's supply chain and results.
Relevance 75·Dependency 70·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“any current or potential future export restrictions or bans by the Chinese government, as well as any import restrictions or bans by the U.S. government, on rare earth minerals could materially and adversely impact our supply chain continuity and operating results.”
Pillar Two global minimum tax
Tax Exposure
Pillar Two implemented from FY2026 offset tax benefits from Singapore/Thailand incentive programs, contributing to ETR rising to 13.73% from 2.91%.
Relevance 75·Dependency 65·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“primarily due to the net effect of tax benefits related to earnings generated in jurisdictions that are subject to tax incentive programs, offset by the effects of Pillar Two global minimum tax.”
Tariffs and trade policy
Currency Exposure
U.S. trade policy changes, sanctions and tariffs may materially and adversely impact business and results; trade developments could restrict component availability and increase costs.
Relevance 75·Dependency 60·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Changes in U.S. trade policy, including the imposition of sanctions or tariffs and the resulting consequences, may have a material and adverse impact on our business and results of operations.”
Intellectual property law and litigation
Legal Exposure
Seagate is frequently involved in IP disputes; adverse infringement findings could require substantial damages, injunctions against product sales, redesigns, or licenses, and IP enforcement is weaker in some countries where it operates and sells.
Relevance 75·Dependency 55·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Some of the actions that we face from time-to-time seek injunctions against the sale of our products and/or substantial monetary damages, which, if granted or awarded, could materially harm our business, financial condition and operating results.”
Americas (bill-from location) generated 50% of FY2026 revenue, the largest geography.
Relevance 72·Dependency 55·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Revenues by Geography (%) (1)
Americas50 %49 %”
Singapore is principal executive office location and hosts tax incentive programs; Singapore statutory rate of 17% is the baseline for tax reconciliation.
Relevance 70·Dependency 68·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“We established Singapore as our principal executive offices in fiscal year 2024.”
Rare earth elements
Supplier Dependency
Production requires rare earth elements, precious metals and specialized alloys subject to supply constraints or price volatility.
Relevance 70·Dependency 65·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“including certain rare earth elements, precious metals and specialized alloys, which may be subject to supply constraints or price volatility”
Artificial intelligence demand shifts
Demand Driver
Shifts in demand related to emerging technologies including AI may cause customers to postpone or cancel spending, materially affecting demand for storage products.
Relevance 70·Dependency 50·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“shifts in demand related to emerging technologies, including artificial intelligence, all of which may have a material and adverse effect on the demand for our products”
Litigation, investigations and regulatory proceedings
Legal Exposure
Ongoing legal/regulatory proceedings and government scrutiny can impose substantial damages, fines, penalties, and management distraction; a $105M legal settlement charge in FY2026 evidences realized cost.
Relevance 70·Dependency 50·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Legal settlement105 — —”
Third-party licensed IP and infrastructure
Technology Dependency
Products depend on third-party licensed IP including open source and third-party data centers/infrastructure; loss of licenses on reasonable terms or disputes could disrupt products and operations.
Relevance 65·Dependency 55·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“We may not be able to obtain or continue to obtain licenses from these third parties at all or on reasonable terms, or such third parties may demand cross-licenses to our intellectual property.”
evolving trade policies
Geopolitical Exposure
Geopolitical uncertainty and evolving trade policies may impact business and results; company monitoring and assessing mitigation plans.
Relevance 65·Dependency 55·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“marked by heightened geopolitical uncertainty and evolving trade policies. These factors may impact our business and results of operations.”