United States
Revenue Exposure
3,938 of 4,042 company-owned restaurants are in the U.S.; foreign currency risk immaterial given U.S. concentration.
Relevance 95·Dependency 90·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“As of December 31, 2025, we owned 3,938 Chipotle restaurants throughout the United States, and 104 international Chipotle restaurants.”
Key ingredients (fresh, Responsibly Raised)
Supplier Dependency
Certain key ingredients purchased from a small number of suppliers; shortages or price increases directly hit costs and availability.
Relevance 90·Dependency 75·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Certain key ingredients are purchased from a small number of suppliers.”
Digital ordering (website, app, aggregators, Chipotlane)
Customer Exposure
Digital sales represent over a third of food and beverage revenue and drive unit economics via Chipotlanes.
Relevance 85·Dependency 80·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“Digital sales represented 36.7% of food and beverage revenue in 2025, compared to 35.1% in 2024.”
Consumer discretionary spending
Demand Driver
Restaurant dining depends on discretionary spending; downturns and inflation reduce traffic and shift guests to lower-priced options.
Relevance 85·Dependency 75·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Restaurant dining generally is dependent upon consumer discretionary spending, which may be affected by macroeconomic conditions that are beyond our control.”
Labor market and wage inflation
Cost Driver
Wage inflation, minimum wage mandates, and a competitive labor market raise operating costs and affect staffing.
Relevance 70·Dependency 65·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“wage inflation and state or local regulations mandating higher minimum wages; the competitive labor market, which impacts our ability to attract and retain qualified employees”
Third-party delivery services
Customer Exposure
Over 16% of 2025 revenue is delivery orders reliant on third-party delivery companies whose fees and platform prioritization affect margins and sales.
Relevance 70·Dependency 65·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“Over 16% of our 2025 food and beverage revenue consisted of delivery orders for which we are reliant on third-party delivery companies.”
Restaurant industry competitors and non-traditional formats
Competitive Exposure
Competes on taste, price, quality, digital engagement against restaurant chains, grocery convenience meals, meal kits, and ghost kitchens; delivery aggregators can steer guests elsewhere.
Relevance 70·Dependency 60·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“The restaurant industry is highly competitive on factors such as taste, price, food quality and selection, customer service, brand reputation, digital engagement, advertising and promotional initiatives”
Climate change and extreme weather
Demand Driver
Adverse weather reduces guest traffic, closes restaurants, and cuts crop size/quality raising ingredient costs.
Relevance 60·Dependency 50·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Adverse weather conditions have impacted and may again impact guest traffic at our restaurants and, in more severe cases such as hurricanes, tornadoes, wildfires or other natural disasters, cause temporary restaurant closures”
Tariffs and trade restrictions
Cost Driver
Tariffs expected to impact food, beverage and packaging costs; monitored alongside trade restrictions.
Relevance 60·Dependency 50·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“the expected impact of tariffs on our food, beverage and packaging costs”
Global conflicts and geopolitical crises
Geopolitical Exposure
Global conflicts, geopolitical crises and supply shortages cited as risks to supplier fulfillment and ingredient prices; international expansion adds exposure.
Relevance 50·Dependency 40·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“increases in ingredient and other operating costs and the inability of our third-party suppliers and business partners to fulfill their commitments due to inflation, global conflicts, climate change, extreme weather, our Food with Integrity philosophy, tariffs or trade restrictions and supply shortages”
California climate disclosure laws / SBTi targets
Regulatory Exposure
Evolving sustainability disclosure obligations and a 50% Scope 1-3 GHG reduction target by 2030 create compliance costs and execution risk.
Relevance 40·Dependency 35·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“We previously announced that we had set science-based targets validated by the Science Based Targets Initiative to reduce absolute Scope 1, 2 and 3 greenhouse gas emissions 50% by 2030 from a 2019 base year”
Alshaya Group
Revenue Exposure
Alshaya Group operates all 14 partner-operated restaurants in the Middle East; partner quality failures could damage brand and impair expansion.
Relevance 35·Dependency 30·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“As of December 31, 2025, we had 14 international partner-operated Chipotle restaurants in the Middle East in partnership with the Alshaya Group”