CME Group Inc.

CME Group Inc.

CME

$270.83

Updated: 24/09/2026, 16:30:14

Market Cap
$97.38B
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
Country
US
Stock valuation chart
One-year closing share-price history for CME
Company Profile

CME Group Inc., through its various subsidiaries, manages international marketplaces for the exchange of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. Its extensive array of product offerings includes futures and options linked to a broad spectrum of underlying assets, such as interest rates, equity indices, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, alongside fixed-income products. The company additionally furnishes essential clearinghouse services, which entail the verification, settlement, and guarantee of futures, options, and cleared swap agreements traded across its venues. It also offers services for transaction processing and risk mitigation. Furthermore, the organization provides diverse market data services, encompassing both real-time and historical data feeds. Its wide-ranging client base consists of professional traders, financial institutions, both institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. Founded in Chicago, Illinois, in 1898, the enterprise was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. before rebranding as CME Group Inc. in July 2007.

USD
NASDAQ
CEO: Terrence A. Duffy
Employees: 3,875
https://www.cmegroup.com
Asset Summaries
Latest generated summaries for CME

No summaries found.

Detailed business
Evidence-backed facts extracted from the latest official annual filing.
CME-10-k-fy2025.html2.4 MBtext/htmlENFiled 26/02/2026Period ended 31/12/2025

Business monitoring

Reported and calculated KPIs plus operational exposure disclosed in the FY 2025 filing.

Evidence-backed · 36 KPI observations

Revenue

N/A

FY — · Reported

Net income

$4.1B

FY 2025 · Reported

Gross margin

N/A

FY — · Reported

Free cash flow

$4.2B

FY 2025 · Calculated

R&D intensity

N/A

FY — · Reported

Share repurchases

N/A

FY — · Reported

Earnings and cash generation
USD billions, directly sourced from inline XBRL; free cash flow is operating cash flow less capex.
Profitability and reinvestment
Margins and R&D as a percentage of revenue.
Top products and services
Products and services mentioned in the filing; a quantitative sales breakdown was not disclosed.

Other offerings mentioned without separate sales

Data Services Business
Derivatives product lines by asset class
BrokerTec and EBS broker-dealer and MTF businesses
Cash markets business (BrokerTec and EBS)
Trading venues and products

Area-level product sales are displayed only when the filing reports a product × geography breakdown. Regional totals are not allocated across products by estimation.

Geographic footprint
What the filing identifies, separated by location role so partner manufacturing is not presented as Apple-owned factories.
1 named headquarters
0 manufacturing countries
0 individually named factories

Map layer

Pins show disclosed operations. The heatmap colors the filing’s reported geographies; regional figures shade the region and are not estimates for each country.

No reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosureNo reported geographic revenue disclosure
Named headquarters Manufacturing partner country

Only locations and quantities explicitly supported by the filing are displayed. A country-level manufacturing percentage or product allocation is shown only when the source discloses it; materiality scores are never presented as production shares.

How the business makes money

CME Group core business

CME Group enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and OTC products, operates leading central counterparty clearing, and provides market data across six major asset classes.

100%
Source evidence
“CME Group enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and over-the-counter (OTC) products, optimize portfolios and analyze data”

Exchange brands and subsidiaries

CME Group operates CME, CBOT, NYMEX and COMEX exchanges with Globex, ClearPort, BrokerTec, EBS and OSTTRA platforms

100%
Source evidence
“References to "CME" are to Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc., to "CBOT" are to Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc., to "NYMEX" are to New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. and to "COMEX" are to the Commodity Exchange, Inc.”

Company overview

Holding company for CME, CBOT, NYMEX, COMEX, NEX; derivatives exchanges and clearing house; Nasdaq: CME

98%
Source evidence
“CME Group, a Delaware stock corporation, is the holding company for CME, CBOT, NYMEX, COMEX, NEX Group plc (NEX) and their respective subsidiaries.”

Transaction-fee driven revenue model

Revenue substantially derived from fees for transactions executed and cleared in CME Group's markets; volumes affected by macro, volatility and regulatory factors.

97%
Source evidence
“Our revenue is substantially derived from fees for transactions executed and cleared in our markets.”

Derivatives exchanges and products

Derivatives exchanges (CME, CBOT, NYMEX, COMEX) across interest rates, equity indices, FX, agricultural, energy, metals and cryptocurrency products.

100%
Source evidence
“CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange (FX), and agricultural, energy and metals commodities.”

Securities Clearing Business (CMESC)

CMESC received SEC approval in December 2025 to become a securities clearing agency; launch planned later in 2026 ahead of SEC U.S. Treasury clearing mandates.

100%
Source evidence
“In December 2025, our subsidiary, CME Securities Clearing Inc. (CMESC) received approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to become a securities clearing agency.”

Cash Markets Business (BrokerTec and EBS)

BrokerTec fixed income/money markets trading and EBS FX trading, launched BrokerTec Chicago and FX Spot+ in 2025.

100%
Source evidence
“BrokerTec operates global electronic trading for fixed income and money market products, with a leading position in cash U.S. Treasuries, European Government Bonds, and Repo”

Vertically-integrated execution and clearing model

Strategic plan is to operate an efficient and transparent vertically-integrated transaction execution, clearing and settlement business.

95%
Source evidence
“Our strategic business plan for our futures and options business is to operate an efficient and transparent vertically-integrated transaction execution, clearing and settlement business.”

Customer base of derivatives exchanges

Customers include professional traders, financial institutions, investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments and central banks.

100%
Source evidence
“The customer base of our derivatives exchanges includes professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, major corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments and central banks.”

Customer base

Professional traders, financial institutions, investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, central banks; members and non-members

96%
Source evidence
“Our customers consist of professional traders, financial institutions, individual and institutional investors, major corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments and central banks.”

Data Services Business

Data services include real-time/historical data, CME Term SOFR benchmark administration (FCA-regulated), and native live market data on Google Cloud.

100%
Source evidence
“CME Group has taken a leading role by becoming the first derivatives marketplace to provide live market data natively on the Google Cloud.”

Derivatives product lines by asset class

Futures and options across interest rates, equity indexes, FX, energy, metals, agricultural commodities

97%
Source evidence
“trade futures contracts and options contracts on a range of products, including those based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, energy, metals and agricultural commodities.”

BrokerTec and EBS broker-dealer and MTF businesses

BrokerTec and EBS broker-dealer and MTF businesses are extensively regulated across jurisdictions with licensing, capital and AML obligations.

95%
Source evidence
“Our broker-dealer and MTF businesses, BrokerTec and EBS, are also extensively regulated in various jurisdictions.”

Cash markets business (BrokerTec and EBS)

Fixed income trading via BrokerTec, FX trading via EBS; BrokerTec Americas matched principal business

95%
Source evidence
“we offer fixed income trading through BrokerTec and foreign currency trading through EBS”

Trading venues and products

Electronic platforms, open outcry limited to SOFR options, privately negotiated cleared transactions

94%
Source evidence
“Open outcry trading is limited to Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) options products.”

Revenue composition and drivers

Majority of revenue from clearing and transaction fees; also market data, access/communication fees, collateral management, equity subscriptions

96%
Source evidence
“A majority of our revenue is derived from clearing and transaction fees, which include electronic trading fees, surcharges for privately negotiated transactions and other volume-related charges”

Operations and dependencies

Global workforce and human capital metrics

~3,875 employees globally (58% U.S.); 4.1% voluntary turnover, 35.9% internal fills, 14.5% promotions, 82% engagement score in 2025.

100%
Source evidence
“As of December 31, 2025, our global employee population consisted of approximately 3,875 employees, with 58% (approximately 2,230) working in the U.S.”

Positioning and strategy

Clearing house performance guarantee

Central counterparty clearing guarantee with contract offsetting and margin efficiencies

95%
Source evidence
“the substitution of our clearing house as the counterparty to every transaction allows our customers to establish a position with one party and offset the position with another”

Price volatility drives trading activity

Trading volumes driven by volatility in commodities, equities, fixed income, FX and by economic/market conditions

100%
Source evidence
“volatility in commodity, equity and fixed income prices, and price volatility of financial benchmarks and instruments such as interest rates, equity indices, fixed income instruments and foreign exchange rates”

Volume demand drivers

Volumes rise during economic/geopolitical uncertainty; influenced by Fed rate policy, credit availability and AUM

93%
Source evidence
“our contract volume, and consequently our revenues, tend to increase during periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty”

Uncertainty-driven hedging volume vs. post-disturbance decline

Periods of heightened uncertainty tend to increase trading volume via hedging, but post-disturbance periods may see decreased volume from reduced risk exposure and lack of available capital.

93%
Source evidence
“Historically, periods of heightened uncertainty have tended to increase our trading volume due to increased hedging activity”

Growth strategy: OTC markets, global distribution, M&A and Google Cloud partnership

Growth strategy includes serving OTC markets, global distribution, new markets, acquisitions/alliances, and a Google Cloud partnership; future transactions could involve dilutive equity or increased debt.

90%
Source evidence
“We may issue additional equity and/or debt as part of strategic partnerships with third parties, as was the case in connection with our partnership with Google Cloud.”

Leading clearing house position

CME operates one of the world's leading central counterparty clearing providers.

100%
Source evidence
“we operate one of the world’s leading central counterparty clearing providers.”

Global marketplace positioning

Global customer access; competes in expanding global trading, clearing and settlement marketplace

90%
Source evidence
“We compete in a large and expanding financial services trading, clearing and settlement marketplace globally.”

Maximize futures and options growth globally

Growth strategy centered on micro products, options, new Credit/T-bill/TBA Mortgage futures, 24/7 crypto trading from Q2 2026, and energy transition/environmental products.

100%
Source evidence
“We will begin offering 24/7 trading for our entire crypto suite in Q2 2026 to enable our customers to hedge exposure to the underlying cash markets for these products throughout the weekend.”

Business strategy

Global futures/options growth, revenue diversification, customer efficiencies, Google Cloud partnership

93%
Source evidence
“Our strategy focuses on maximizing futures and options growth globally, diversifying our business and revenues and delivering unparalleled customer efficiencies and operational excellence, including through our partnership with Google Cloud.”

Risks, financing, and outlook

Volume-variable expense components

Licensing/fee agreements vary with equity, energy and swap volumes

90%
Source evidence
“licensing and other fee agreements can vary directly with certain equity, energy and swap vol”

Prediction markets joint venture with FanDuel

CME has a joint venture with FanDuel for prediction markets, subject to pending litigation and regulatory outcomes.

90%
Source evidence
“The outcome of both litigation and regulatory consideration of issues relating to prediction markets, which could impact our existing and future offerings through our joint venture with FanDuel.”

Key regulatory focus areas

Regulatory focus includes SEC U.S. Treasury clearing mandate, Basel III Endgame, FSB CCP resolution proposals, transaction taxes, and 60/40 tax treatment elimination.

100%
Source evidence
“The implementation of the SEC's mandate for central clearing of U.S. Treasury securities and potential impacts to the industry.”

Primary regulation in US, UK and EU

Primarily subject to U.S., UK and EU regulators; possible sanctions include revocation of designations as contract market, derivatives clearing organization, swap data repository, broker-dealer or MTF.

95%
Source evidence
“We are primarily subject to the jurisdiction of the regulatory agencies in the U.S., UK and EU.”

Index and intellectual property rights dependency

Licensed index rights (Dow Jones, S&P 500) and IP terms are a revenue dependency

100%
Source evidence
“any negative financial impacts from changes to the terms of intellectual property and index rights”

Google Cloud transition cost risk

Cloud transition to Google Cloud creates variable costs and duplicative on-premise/cloud costs during transition

100%
Source evidence
“our ability to manage variable costs associated with CME Group's transition to the Google Cloud, and minimizing the duplicative costs of maintaining both on-premise and Google Cloud environments during the transition”

Third-party provider and distribution partner reliance

Depends on third-party providers and distribution partners (ISVs, FCMs, introducing brokers, data distributors) for trading and market data

100%
Source evidence
“our reliance on third-party distribution partners, including independent software vendors (ISVs), futures commission merchants (FCMs), introducing brokers, broker-dealers, regulatory reporting and data distributors and platform operators”

Regulatory, tariff and tax policy risk

Exposed to regulation changes, tariffs, restrictions on offering products by geography/customer, and possible transaction tax or loss of 60/40 tax treatment

100%
Source evidence
“the imposition of a transaction tax or user fee on futures and options transactions and/or repeal of the 60/40 tax treatment of such transactions”

Clearing house credit and liquidity risk

Clearing house manages credit risk of clearing firms, BrokerTec matched principal margin/liquidity requirements, and collateral earnings variance

100%
Source evidence
“the ability of our credit and liquidity risk management practices to adequately protect us from the credit risks of clearing firms and other counterparties, and to satisfy the margin and liquidity requirements associated with the BrokerTec matched principal business”

Revenue mix and pricing structure risk

Rate per contract varies with product/venue/customer mix, incentive programs and tiered pricing; market data and internalization affect revenue

100%
Source evidence
“changes in our rate per contract due to shifts in the mix of the products traded, the trading venue and the mix of customers (whether the customer receives member or non-member fees or participates in one of our various incentive programs) and the impact of our tiered pricing structure”

Fixed cost structure risk

Fixed cost base difficult to adjust if revenues decline

100%
Source evidence
“our ability to adjust our fixed costs and expenses if our revenues decline”

Platform resilience and cybersecurity risk

Electronic platform resilience and disaster recovery exposed to cyberattacks/cyberterrorism and supplier disruption

100%
Source evidence
“the resilience of our electronic platforms and the soundness of our business continuity and disaster recovery plans, including in the event of cyberattacks and cyberterrorism or as impacted by a failure of or disruption at one of our suppliers”

M&A, indebtedness and litigation risks

Risks from growth strategy execution, acquisition synergies, indebtedness, customer consolidation and unfavorable legal proceedings

100%
Source evidence
“our ability to execute our growth strategy and maintain our growth effectively; the ability to manage the risks, control the costs and achieve the synergies associated with and benefits from our strategy for acquisitions, investments, alliances, strategic partnerships and joint ventures”

60/40 tax treatment elimination risk

Legislation proposing to eliminate 60/40 tax treatment of futures/options could significantly raise participant tax rates and reduce trading activity.

100%
Source evidence
“Legislation that proposes to eliminate the 60/40 tax treatment of certain of our futures and options contracts, which would result in 60% of the gains being taxed at the short-term capital gain rate instead of the long-term capital gain rate.”

BrokerTec Americas FICC membership dependency

BrokerTec Americas' matched principal platform relies on FICC membership; trades are expected to be novated promptly to FICC as ultimate counterparty, requiring ready liquidity for margin calls.

95%
Source evidence
“A failure of BrokerTec Americas to maintain its membership with FICC could adversely impact the willingness of such participants to continue trading on our platform.”

Intense competition across execution, clearing and data

Faces intense competition from exchanges, OTC markets, clearing organizations, member consortia, alternative trade execution facilities, crypto and prediction market platforms, and technology firms including AI-enabled competitors.

95%
Source evidence
“We face competition from other futures, securities and securities option exchanges; OTC markets; clearing organizations; consortia formed by our members and large industry participants; alternative trade execution facilities and crypto and prediction market platforms; technology firms, including market data distributors and electronic trading system developers; and others.”

Dependency on third-party price reporting agency IP

A significant percentage of contract volume and revenue is based on indexes derived from third-party price reporting agencies; loss of IP protection would hurt volume and revenue.

95%
Source evidence
“A significant percentage of our contract volume and revenue is based on indexes derived from third-party price reporting agencies.”

Volume drivers list including geopolitics, rates, weather

Trading volumes are affected by geopolitics and wars, regulation, volatility, commodity supply/demand shifts, monetary policy and Fed rate forecasts, capital availability, weather/droughts, pandemics, and customer consolidation.

93%
Source evidence
“economic, political and geopolitical market conditions, including the instability caused by trade policies and wars”

Regulatory scrutiny of clearing house ownership

Some of the clearing house's largest clearing firms seek legislative or regulatory changes enabling alternative clearing services or free movement of open positions, which could allow them to take advantage of CME's liquidity and limit use of its markets.

93%
Source evidence
“These clearing firms have sought, and may seek in the future, legislative or regulatory changes that would, if adopted, enable them to use alternative clearing services”

Intensifying competition

Competition expected to intensify across trading, clearing and settlement

90%
Source evidence
“We expect competition to continue to intensify, especially in light of ongoing regulatory developments in the financial services industry.”

Currency translation and global operations risk

Financials presented in USD; foreign subsidiary translation and global operations expose the company to FX fluctuations, protectionist laws, staffing costs and adverse tax consequences.

90%
Source evidence
“As our consolidated financial statements are presented in U.S. dollars, we must translate our foreign subsidiaries’ financial statements from local currencies into U.S. dollars”

Event-based contract litigation (sports events)

The legal status of certain event-based contracts, most notably sports event contracts, is under litigation in various jurisdictions; outcomes could impact ability to offer event contracts.

90%
Source evidence
“The legal status of certain event-based contracts, most notably those based on sports events, is the subject of litigation in various jurisdictions.”

Spot digital asset regulation pending in Congress

Legislation regarding the regulatory market structure for trading and clearing of spot digital assets is being considered in Congress; impact on listed derivatives regulation is uncertain.

90%
Source evidence
“Legislation regarding the regulatory market structure applicable to the trading and clearing of spot digital assets is currently being considered in Congress.”

Potential transaction tax legislation

Legislation may add a transaction tax on products, making transactions more costly to market participants and potentially reducing trading.

90%
Source evidence
“Legislation may be proposed, both domestically and internationally, that could, for example, add a transaction tax on our products”

Regulatory environment risk

Regulatory developments could significantly impact business and profitability

90%
Source evidence
“Compliance with regulations may require us and our customers to dedicate significant financial and operational resources, which could adversely affect our profitability.”

Material exposure graph

market_volatility
Demand Driver

Trading and clearing revenues depend on volatility in commodities, equities, fixed income, FX and broader economic conditions driving customer trading activity.

Relevance 95·Dependency 90·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“volatility in commodity, equity and fixed income prices, and price volatility of financial benchmarks and instruments such as interest rates, equity indices, fixed income instruments and foreign exchange rates”
Market volatility
Revenue Exposure

Trading volumes and transaction fee revenue rise with uncertainty-driven hedging but can fall after market disturbances as risk exposure declines.

Relevance 95·Dependency 90·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“changes in price levels, trading volumes and volatility in the derivatives, cash and OTC markets and in their underlying markets”
Third-party price reporting agency indexes
Supplier Dependency

Significant percentage of contract volume and revenue is based on indexes derived from third-party price reporting agencies; loss of IP protection would directly reduce volume and revenue.

Relevance 90·Dependency 85·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“A significant percentage of our contract volume and revenue is based on indexes derived from third-party price reporting agencies.”
SOFR and interest rate products
Revenue Exposure

Interest rates is a core asset class (SOFR, U.S. Treasury, Federal Funds) with a third consecutive year of volume records in 2025.

Relevance 90·Dependency 80·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“This included a third consecutive year of volume records in our interest rates asset class, as well as volume records for our agricultural, energy and metals products.”
Financial market volatility
Revenue Exposure

Trading activity fluctuates due to ongoing uncertainty in the financial markets, directly affecting per-contract clearing and transaction fee revenue.

Relevance 85·Dependency 70·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Trading activity in our centralized markets has fluctuated due to the ongoing uncertainty in the financial markets”
Federal Reserve interest rate policy
Demand Driver

Trading activity fluctuates with the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, driving contract volumes and clearing/transaction fee revenue.

Relevance 85·Dependency 70·Confidence 92
Source evidence
“fluctuations in the availability of credit, variations in the amount of assets under management as well as the Federal Reserve Bank’s interest rate policy”
Economic and geopolitical uncertainty
Demand Driver

Contract volumes and revenues tend to increase during periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty as customers hedge or speculate on volatility.

Relevance 85·Dependency 65·Confidence 92
Source evidence
“our contract volume, and consequently our revenues, tend to increase during periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty”
SEC U.S. Treasury central clearing mandate
Regulatory Exposure

The SEC mandate creates both an opportunity (CMESC clearing service launch in 2026) and regulatory risk for the business.

Relevance 85·Dependency 60·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“We plan to launch clearing services under CMESC later in 2026 to help market participants comply with the mandate for U.S. Treasury transactions (as of December 31, 2026) and repo transactions (as of June 30, 2027).”
Financial services industry customer base
Revenue Exposure

Clearing/transaction fees are per-contract and driven by trading of professional traders, financial institutions and other customers; market data revenue is also influenced by the financial services industry as primary customer base.

Relevance 80·Dependency 75·Confidence 88
Source evidence
“General economic factors that affect the financial services industry, which constitutes our primary customer base, also influence revenue from our market data services.”
Clearing firms
Customer Exposure

A single clearing firm represented 12% of clearing and transaction fees revenue in 2025; withdrawal risk is mitigated by expected customer activity transfer.

Relevance 80·Dependency 70·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“One firm represented 12% of our clearing and transaction fees revenue for 2025.”
Monetary policy and interest rates
Revenue Exposure

Government monetary policies and central bank rate forecasts directly affect trading volumes in CME's markets.

Relevance 80·Dependency 60·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“changes in government monetary policies and the U.S. Federal Reserve and other international banks' forecasted interest rates”
Google Cloud
Supplier Dependency

Transition to Google Cloud introduces variable costs and duplicative on-premise/cloud costs during the transition.

Relevance 75·Dependency 70·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“our ability to manage variable costs associated with CME Group's transition to the Google Cloud, and minimizing the duplicative costs of maintaining both on-premise and Google Cloud environments during the transition”
Interest rate environment
Revenue Exposure

Open outcry is limited to SOFR options and interest rate products are a core asset class, tying revenue to the rate environment and Fed policy.

Relevance 75·Dependency 60·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“Open outcry trading is limited to Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) options products.”
Futures/options regulation and tax policy
Regulatory Exposure

Changes in laws, tariffs, tax policy, transaction taxes or repeal of 60/40 tax treatment could restrict products offered and raise costs.

Relevance 75·Dependency 60·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“changes in regulations, including the impact of any changes in laws or government policies with respect to our products or services or our industry”
Geopolitical conditions and trade policies
Demand Driver

Economic, political and geopolitical conditions, including instability from trade policies and wars, affect trading volumes.

Relevance 75·Dependency 55·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“economic, political and geopolitical market conditions, including the instability caused by trade policies and wars”
Third-party distribution partners (ISVs, FCMs, brokers, data distributors)
Customer Exposure

Relies on ISVs, FCMs, introducing brokers, broker-dealers, data distributors and platform operators for facilitating trading and market data distribution.

Relevance 70·Dependency 65·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“our reliance on third-party distribution partners, including independent software vendors (ISVs), futures commission merchants (FCMs), introducing brokers, broker-dealers, regulatory reporting and data distributors and platform operators”
Financial services regulation
Regulatory Exposure

Regulated exchanges and regulated customers; regulatory developments can significantly impact business and compliance costs may affect profitability.

Relevance 70·Dependency 60·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Developments in the regulatory environment have the potential to significantly impact our business.”
UK
Regulatory Exposure

CME is primarily subject to jurisdiction of regulatory agencies in the U.S., UK and EU, with significant compliance costs and potential sanctions.

Relevance 70·Dependency 60·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“We are primarily subject to the jurisdiction of the regulatory agencies in the U.S., UK and EU.”
Capital availability to market participants
Customer Exposure

Availability of capital to market participants and their risk appetite directly affects trading volumes and thus transaction fee revenue.

Relevance 70·Dependency 55·Confidence 88
Source evidence
“availability of capital to our market participants and their appetite for risk-taking”
60/40 tax treatment of futures
Regulatory Exposure

Elimination of 60/40 tax treatment could significantly increase tax rates on market participants and decrease trading activity on CME markets.

Relevance 70·Dependency 40·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“This would impose a significant increase in tax rates applicable to certain market participants and could result in a decrease in their trading activity.”
US spot digital assets market structure legislation
Legal Exposure

Pending Congressional legislation on spot digital asset trading/clearing market structure could impact CME's digital asset product offering and listed derivatives regulation.

Relevance 65·Dependency 40·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Legislation regarding the regulatory market structure applicable to the trading and clearing of spot digital assets is currently being considered in Congress.”
Licensed index rights (Dow Jones, S&P 500)
Technology Dependency

Equity index products depend on licensed Dow Jones and S&P index rights; changes to terms could negatively affect financials.

Relevance 60·Dependency 55·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and S&P are service and/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC and S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by CME”
Google Cloud
Technology Dependency

Business strategy includes delivering customer efficiencies and operational excellence through the Google Cloud partnership.

Relevance 60·Dependency 50·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“including through our partnership with Google Cloud”
Artificial intelligence
Competitive Exposure

Competitors may utilize better AI technology; generative AI also elevates fraud risk and market data IP misuse risk.

Relevance 60·Dependency 45·Confidence 88
Source evidence
“utilize better, more user-friendly or more reliable technology, including artificial intelligence”
FSB CCP resolution consultation
Regulatory Exposure

FSB proposal for CCP-dedicated resolution resources could increase costs, reduce participation, and disincentivize default management if adopted in the U.S.

Relevance 55·Dependency 40·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“this proposal could negatively impact cleared markets by increasing costs, reducing participation, and disincentivizing default management participation.”
Google Cloud
Technology Dependency

CME provides live market data natively on Google Cloud, embedding cloud technology in its data distribution strategy.

Relevance 55·Dependency 40·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“becoming the first derivatives marketplace to provide live market data natively on the Google Cloud”
Prediction markets litigation/regulation
Legal Exposure

Litigation and regulatory outcomes on prediction markets could impact CME's existing and future offerings via the FanDuel joint venture.

Relevance 55·Dependency 30·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“The outcome of both litigation and regulatory consideration of issues relating to prediction markets, which could impact our existing and future offerings through our joint venture with FanDuel.”
Energy transition / environmental markets
Demand Driver

CME is expanding into bioenergy, water, battery metals and carbon products to establish a leadership position in energy transition/environmental markets.

Relevance 50·Dependency 30·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“We are establishing a leadership position in and supporting the needs of our clients in the energy transition/environmental markets by expanding into bioenergy, water, battery metals and carbon products.”
Full company information
Latest profile, trading, valuation, and identifier data stored for CME.
Share price
$270.83
Market cap
$97.38B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Currency
USD
CEO
Terrence A. Duffy
Employees
3,875
IPO date
06/12/2002
Beta
0.275
Last dividend
$0.00
Day range
$268.82 – $271.68
52-week range
$218.31 – $329.16
1-day performance
0.01%
1-year performance
24.06%
Current drawdown (1Y)
-17.72%
CIK
0001156375
CUSIP
12572Q105
ISIN
US12572Q1058
Created
07/12/2025, 03:21:54
Last update
24/09/2026, 16:30:14

Track CME Group Inc. with an AI analyst

See which prediction-market events move CME, how its filings map to real-world exposure, and what 12 AI strategies are doing with positions like it.

Free forever to follow AlphaBrain’s AI strategies. No card required.

Latest Database News
News linked to CME from your Railway `news_articles` table.