Contracted transportation providers
Supplier Dependency
Company relies on independent third-party carriers for all transportation capacity; carrier failures or shortages directly impair service delivery.
Relevance 95·Dependency 95·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“We depend on independent third parties to provide truck, rail, ocean, and air services”
Contracted carriers
Supplier Dependency
C.H. Robinson does not own most freight capacity; it purchases transportation from a wide variety of contracted carriers, making carrier capacity and rates the core cost and supply dependency.
Relevance 95·Dependency 92·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Carrier capacity in the North America surface transportation market continued to contract toward the end of 2025 as carriers exited the market.”
Contracted motor carriers
Supplier Dependency
Truckload and LTL brokerage capacity is purchased from ~450,000 contracted carriers, mostly on spot terms, creating dependence on carrier availability and rates
Relevance 92·Dependency 90·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“utilizing a network of contracted transportation providers, including, but not limited to, contracted motor carriers, railroads, and ocean and air carriers”
Freight customers in cyclical end-industries
Demand Driver
Customer downturns in retail, food, automotive, industrial, and other industries reduce freight volumes and operating results.
Relevance 90·Dependency 85·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“if a downturn in our customers' business cycles causes a reduction in the volumes of freight shipped by those customers, particularly in the retail, food, beverage, automotive, industrial, manufacturing, housing, chemicals, or technology industries”
Economic recession
Revenue Exposure
Recession reduces freight volumes, increases customer credit risk, and risks carrier failures.
Relevance 85·Dependency 75·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Economic recession could have a significant, adverse impact on our business.”
Artificial intelligence (Lean AI)
Competitive Exposure
AI, machine learning, and dynamic costing/pricing models are positioned as core differentiators driving margins, volume, and market share
Relevance 85·Dependency 75·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Lean AI is our unique and disciplined method of applying artificial intelligence, at scale, to achieve tangible business results.”
AI-driven freight matching platforms
Competitive Exposure
Competitors using AI-driven matching and automation could pressure rates and margins if the company fails to keep pace.
Relevance 85·Dependency 70·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Competitors are leveraging advanced digital platforms, AI-driven freight matching, and automation to improve efficiency and reduce costs”
Red Sea conflict / freight market disruption
Demand Driver
Red Sea avoidance by carriers extended transit times and strained networks; disruptions elevated 2024 ocean rates, and their normalization contributed to depressed 2025 ocean pricing and revenues.
Relevance 80·Dependency 60·Confidence 93
Source evidence
“Despite carriers’ ongoing avoidance of the Suez Canal, which has resulted in longer transit times and strain on global networks, vessel capacity has remained elevated.”
Trade and tariff policies
Revenue Exposure
Shifting trade and tariff policies drove short periods of ocean rate volatility, front-loading, and air freight pricing sensitivity to tariff developments.
Relevance 78·Dependency 55·Confidence 92
Source evidence
“overall air freight pricing remains sensitive to tariff developments and broader economic conditions, including cost-efficient ocean freight rates.”
Navisphere platform / customer TMS integrations
Customer Exposure
Customer freight needs flow through Navisphere and automated TMS connections, which also power carrier selection and freight consolidation
Relevance 75·Dependency 70·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“either directly or through highly automated connections established between Navisphere and the customers' transportation management system”
Global consumer demand
Demand Driver
Weak global consumer demand and excess vessel capacity depressed ocean freight rates; weak demand conditions temper the pace of a surface transportation upcycle.
Relevance 75·Dependency 65·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“overall ocean freight rates and volumes declined from the elevated levels observed in 2024, primarily due to excess vessel capacity and weak global consumer demand.”
Fuel cost fluctuations drive carrier pricing and adjusted gross profit margin, though largely a pass-through in truckload.
Relevance 75·Dependency 60·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“fluctuating fuel prices may result in a decreased adjusted gross profit margin”
Tariffs / trade policy
Demand Driver
Changes in trade policies such as tariffs can impact spot freight market volumes.
Relevance 75·Dependency 55·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“The market may be impacted by supply chain disruptions, overall economic conditions, or changes in trade policies such as tariffs”
Market volatility and supply chain disruption
Demand Driver
Company states its global multimodal perspective is critical in supporting shippers through market volatility and supply chain disruptions, framing disruption as both risk and demand driver
Relevance 70·Dependency 55·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“Our global perspective across all links in the supply chain is critical in supporting shippers through market volatility and global supply chain disruptions.”
Geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty
Demand Driver
Geopolitical and macroeconomic factors, including evolving trade policies and the Red Sea conflict, create persistent uncertainty in the forwarding market outlook.
Relevance 70·Dependency 50·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Looking ahead, uncertainty persists due to geopolitical and macroeconomic factors, including evolving trade policies, the Red Sea conflict, and carriers’ ability to effectively manage excess capacity.”
Fuel (fuel surcharges)
Cost Driver
Lower fuel surcharges in truckload services contributed to the 8.4% total revenue decline; truckload pricing/costing metrics exclude fuel surcharges, underscoring fuel as a distinct cost/revenue pass-through.
Relevance 65·Dependency 50·Confidence 88
Source evidence
“in addition to lower pricing and volume in our ocean services and lower fuel surcharges in our truckload services.”
Retail and foodservice customers
Demand Driver
Sourcing revenue growth in 2025 was driven by increased case volume with retail and foodservice customers.
Relevance 65·Dependency 50·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Our sourcing total revenue and direct costs increased, driven by increased case volume with retail and foodservice customers.”
Fuel/diesel (pass-through via surcharge)
Cost Driver
Fuel costs are largely passed through to customers via fuel surcharge agreements on prearranged truckload rates, mitigating but not eliminating fuel cost exposure
Relevance 65·Dependency 40·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“the underlying linehaul portion of the rate is usually accompanied by a fuel surcharge agreement that allows for fuel to primarily be a pass-through cost.”
Fresh produce
Supplier Dependency
Sourcing business depends on fresh produce supply and price, affected by weather, growing conditions, and volatile commodity prices.
Relevance 60·Dependency 80·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“The supply and price of fresh produce is affected by weather and growing conditions, including but not limited to, flood, drought, freeze, insects, disease”
U.S. Customs and Border Protection / NVOCC & IAC licensing
Regulatory Exposure
Ocean (NVOCC), air (IAC), and customs brokerage services operate under government licensing and regulation
Relevance 60·Dependency 50·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“Our customs brokers are licensed and regulated by U.S. Customs and Border Protection and other authoritative governmental agencies”
Consumer spending / holiday seasonality
Revenue Exposure
Seasonal reduction in shipments after winter holidays influences results of operations.
Relevance 60·Dependency 50·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“customers reduce shipments during and after the winter holiday season”
USD (functional, with international operations)
Currency Exposure
Global operations across six continents imply multi-currency freight flows, though the filing excerpt does not quantify currency exposure
Relevance 55·Dependency 40·Confidence 60
Source evidence
“Global Forwarding provides transportation and logistics services through an international network of offices in North America, Europe, Asia, Oceania, South America, and the Middle East”
Foreign currencies (Singapore Dollar, Australian Dollar, Euro)
Currency Exposure
Accumulated other comprehensive loss of $77.7M at Dec 31, 2025 primarily comprises foreign currency adjustments; 2025 OCI of $32.7M was driven primarily by SGD, AUD, and EUR fluctuations; company recorded an $11.2M net FX revaluation loss.
Relevance 50·Dependency 40·Confidence 88
Source evidence
“Other comprehensive income was $32.7 million for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, driven primarily by fluctuations in the Singapore Dollar, Australian Dollar, and the Euro.”