State regulatory ratemaking
Revenue Exposure
Distribution revenues are set by state regulatory authorities with cost adjustment mechanisms; income is generally not affected by gas cost fluctuations due to purchased gas cost adjustment mechanisms.
Relevance 95·Dependency 95·Confidence 97
Source evidence
“Revenues in this operating segment are established by regulatory authorities in the states in which we operate.”
Natural gas distribution
Revenue Exposure
Distribution segment generated $4,425.4M of FY2025 operating revenues, ~94% of reported total revenue before eliminations.
Relevance 95·Dependency 95·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“Distribution segment$4,425,397 $3,915,141 $4,099,690”
State regulatory commissions
Regulatory Exposure
Recovery of costs and capital returns depend on state ratemaking; $608.7M regulatory assets and $1,269.6M regulatory liabilities await recovery/refund through rates.
Relevance 95·Dependency 90·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“certain costs are permitted to be capitalized rather than expensed because they can be recovered through rates”
Natural gas
Commodity Exposure
Purchased gas costs fluctuate with gas prices but are offset dollar-for-dollar through purchased gas cost adjustment mechanisms, so operating income is generally not affected.
Relevance 95·Dependency 60·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“Purchased gas cost adjustment mechanisms provide a method of recovering purchased gas costs on an ongoing basis without filing a rate case because they provide a dollar-for-dollar offset to increases or decreases in the cost of natural gas.”
State regulatory commissions
Regulatory Exposure
Rate outcomes from state regulatory proceedings drove FY2025 operating income increase of $333.6 million; regulatory accounting is a critical estimate
Relevance 90·Dependency 85·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“rate proceedings before various state regulatory commissions”
Contracted gas supply and pipeline/storage capacity
Supplier Dependency
Ability to meet customer demand depends on sufficient gas supply, interstate pipeline capacity, and storage capacity; disruptions could impair operations.
Relevance 85·Dependency 85·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“If contracted gas supplies, interstate pipeline, and/or storage services are not available or delivered in a timely manner, our ability to meet our customers' natural gas requirements may be impaired and our financial condition may be adversely affected.”
Company explicitly identifies concentration of operations in Texas as a risk; Texas legislation also provided a $26.2M FY2025 benefit
Relevance 85·Dependency 80·Confidence 95
Source evidence
“the concentration of our operations in Texas”
Natural gas
Commodity Exposure
Purchased gas cost is the largest operating expense ($1,066.1M FY2025) and swings materially year to year, though largely passed through via deferred gas cost mechanisms.
Relevance 85·Dependency 75·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“Purchased gas cost
Distribution segment1,854,323 1,620,515 2,061,920”
Atmos Pipeline-Texas (APT)
Revenue Exposure
APT is one of the largest intrastate pipelines in Texas, serving Mid-Tex Division and third parties; GRIP allows annual rate base updates for qualifying capital.
Relevance 85·Dependency 70·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“APT is one of the largest intrastate pipeline operations in Texas with a heavy concentration in the established natural gas-producing areas of central, northern, and eastern Texas.”
Weather/cold weather demand
Demand Driver
Peak-day demand is weather-driven; WNA mechanisms in seven states minimize weather effects on ~97% of residential and commercial revenues.
Relevance 85·Dependency 70·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“WNA mechanisms in seven states that serve to minimize the effects of weather on approximately 97 percent of our distribution residential and commercial revenues.”
PHMSA pipeline safety regulations
Regulatory Exposure
PHMSA integrity management requirements drive significant compliance, repair, and capital costs, though believed recoverable through rates.
Relevance 80·Dependency 70·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“PHMSA requires pipeline operators to develop integrity management programs to comprehensively evaluate certain areas along their pipelines”
Pipeline and storage
Revenue Exposure
Pipeline and storage segment generated $1,065.3M of FY2025 operating revenues.
Relevance 70·Dependency 70·Confidence 100
Source evidence
“Pipeline and storage segment1,065,300 938,029 785,174”
interest rate risk
Cost Driver
Capital-intensive business dependent on capital markets access; interest rate risk listed among market risks affecting financial performance
Relevance 70·Dependency 60·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“market risks beyond our control affecting our risk management activities, including commodity price volatility, counterparty performance or creditworthiness, and interest rate risk”
Interest rates
Cost Driver
Interest charges of $171.7M FY2025 and cash paid for interest of $349.2M against $8.9B long-term debt make rate levels a meaningful cost driver.
Relevance 65·Dependency 60·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“Interest charges171,678 190,632 137,281”
Changes in availability and price of natural gas and commodity price volatility listed as risks affecting results and risk management activities
Relevance 65·Dependency 60·Confidence 90
Source evidence
“changes in the availability and price of natural gas”
labor and materials costs
Cost Driver
Increased labor and materials costs cited as factors affecting the magnitude and allocation of the $26 billion capex program
Relevance 65·Dependency 50·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“increased labor and materials costs”
gas supply and interstate pipeline availability
Demand Driver
Availability and accessibility of contracted gas supplies, interstate pipeline, and storage services is listed as a risk factor
Relevance 60·Dependency 55·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“the availability and accessibility of contracted gas supplies, interstate pipeline, and/or storage services”
Extreme weather
Demand Driver
Winter Storm Uri incremental costs and regulatory asset appear on the balance sheet, evidencing weather-driven cost/recovery exposure.
Relevance 60·Dependency 50·Confidence 80
Source evidence
“Winter Storm Uri incremental costs5,841 3,949”
energy transition / emissions legislation
Regulatory Exposure
Legislation to reduce or eliminate greenhouse gas emissions or fossil fuels is listed as a risk to results
Relevance 60·Dependency 45·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“the impact of legislation to reduce or eliminate greenhouse gas emissions or fossil fuels”
FERC regulation
Regulatory Exposure
FERC regulates use and release of interstate pipeline and storage capacity with market manipulation rules and increased penalties.
Relevance 60·Dependency 40·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“FERC has regulatory authority over some of our operations, including the use and release of interstate pipeline and storage capacity.”
Adverse economic conditions on customers raised bad debt expense, an offsetting cost in FY2025
Relevance 50·Dependency 45·Confidence 85
Source evidence
“the impact of adverse economic conditions on our customers”